Nature Climate Change Contents: July 2018 Volume 8 Number 7

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Advertisement Do you have a career question?  The Naturejobs podcast features one-on-one Q&As, panel discussions and other exclusive content to help scientists with their careers. Hosted on the Naturejobs blog, the podcast is also available on iTunes and Soundcloud.  Listen today!  TABLE OF CONTENTS July 2018 Volume 8, Issue 7 Editorial Comment Books & Arts Feature Research Highlights News & Views Perspectives Letters Articles   Advertisement   Nature Index 2018 Earth and Environmental Sciences Climate change is not the only research topic in the Earth and environmental sciences, but few researchers in the discipline work without reference to it. Just as we have depended on them to identify the problem, we look to them for solutions that will help create a better future. Read the full supplement.   Editorial   Keeping on track    p545 doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0223-9 Comment   How much CO2 at 1.5 °C and 2 °C?    pp546 - 548 Richard A. Betts & Doug McNeall doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0199-5 Reduced heat exposure by limiting global warming to 1.5 °C    pp549 - 551 Andrew D. King, Markus G. Donat, Sophie C. Lewis, Benjamin J. Henley, Daniel M. Mitchell et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0191-0 Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals    pp551 - 553 Daniel Mitchell, Clare Heaviside, Nathalie Schaller, Myles Allen, Kristie L. Ebi et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0210-1 Advertisement Nature Sustainability publishes significant original research from a broad range of natural, social and engineering fields about sustainability, its policy dimensions and possible solutions. It brings together novel research on the drivers of human practices and their environmental and social impacts, as well as applied research that identifies viable solutions — technological, infrastructural or institutional — to sustain ecosystems and the well-being of populations across the globe.  Submit your research.   Books & Arts   Elevating the public intellectual    pp554 - 555 James Bergman doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0186-x Feature   Planting carbon storage    pp556 - 558 Molly Hawes doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0214-x Research Highlights   Cyclones slow down    p559 Graham Simpkins doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0219-5 Mapping photosynthesis    p559 Alastair Brown doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0221-y Aging policy priorities    p559 Adam Yeeles doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0217-7 Buffering sensitivity    p559 Bronwyn Wake doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0218-6 Nature Climate Change JOBS of the week Faculty Position in Terrestrial Ecology Ecole Polytechnique F�d�rale de Lausanne (EPFL) Tenure-Track Faculty Position in Chemical Oceanography University of South Florida Lecturer / Senior Lecturer in Computational Geoscience University of Glasgow The School for Environment and Sustainability (SEAS) at the University of Michigan - full-time, nine-month, tenure-track faculty positions University of Michigan More Science jobs from Nature Climate Change EVENT ICEER 2018 The 5th International Conference on Energy and Environment Research (ICEER 2018)--Ei Compendex & Scopus 23.07.18 Prague, Czech Republic More science events from News & Views   Negative-emissions hydrogen energy    pp560 - 561 Jinyue Yan doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0215-9 Moving flood risk modelling forwards    pp561 - 562 Elco Koks doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0185-y Plants turn on the tap    pp562 - 563 Scott Jasechko doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0212-z Perspectives   Achieving a climate justice pathway to 1.5 °C    pp564 - 569 Mary Robinson & Tara Shine doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0189-7 Action needs to be taken to limit the impacts of climate change, however, human rights and the right to development need to be preserved. This Perspective weighs the risks of action and inaction on achieving a just transition to a low-carbon world.   The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise    pp570 - 578 Jochen Hinkel, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Sally Brown, Jose A. Jiménez, Daniel Lincke et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0176-z This Perspective provides a comparative analysis of how well six cities and regions with different coastal and social characteristics and adaptation constraints will be able to adapt to sea-level rise, considering technological, economic, financial, and social factors.   Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events    pp579 - 587 R. M. B. Harris, L. J. Beaumont, T. R. Vance, C. R. Tozer, T. A. Remenyi et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0187-9 A press–pulse framework is used to understand the interactive ecological effects of gradual climate trends and extreme weather events. Australian case studies include population collapses, loss of relictual communities and novel ecosystems.   Letters   Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets    pp588 - 593 J.-F. Mercure, H. Pollitt, J. E. Viñuales, N. R. Edwards, P. B. Holden et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0182-1 New fossil fuel investments may become stranded if demand for fossil fuel declines due to technological change. This could amount to a discounted global wealth loss of US$1–4 trillion, with the negative impact for producer countries amplified by climate mitigation policies of consumer countries.   Global economic response to river floods    pp594 - 598 Sven Norman Willner, Christian Otto & Anders Levermann doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0173-2 Economic losses due to river floods are expected to increase globally in the next 20 years. Direct local losses and indirect losses propagated through a global supply network are derived.   Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes    pp599 - 603 François Massonnet, Martin Vancoppenolle, Hugues Goosse, David Docquier, Thierry Fichefet et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z Projections of Arctic sea-ice loss vary significantly between global circulation models. Analysis of the CMIP5 ensemble reveals that these differences can be related to background ice thickness and corresponding growth/melt processes, and not variations in the sea-ice model used.   Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5 °C world    pp604 - 608 Hugh S. Baker, Richard J. Millar, David J. Karoly, Urs Beyerle, Benoit P. Guillod et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0190-1 A 1.5 °C temperature target can have varying atmospheric CO2 concentrations associated with it. GCM simulations reveal CO2 increases have a direct impact on climate extremes, highlighting the need for climate policy to complement temperature goals with CO2 targets.   Climate–carbon cycle uncertainties and the Paris Agreement    pp609 - 613 P. B. Holden, N. R. Edwards, A. Ridgwell, R. D. Wilkinson, K. Fraedrich et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0197-7 A reasonable interpretation of the Paris Agreement may well still be technically achievable without the need for net negative emissions or excessively stringent policies according to climate–carbon-cycle modelling.   Articles   Relationships among conspiratorial beliefs, conservatism and climate scepticism across nations    pp614 - 620 Matthew J. Hornsey, Emily A. Harris & Kelly S. Fielding doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0157-2 This study shows that relationships between climate scepticism and indices of conspirational and conservative ideology are stronger and more consistent in the United States than in 24 other nations, with the majority of nations showing weak relationships.   The global potential for converting renewable electricity to negative-CO2-emissions hydrogen    pp621 - 625 Greg H. Rau, Heather D. Willauer & Zhiyong Jason Ren doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0203-0 Combining saline water electrolysis with mineral weathering powered by non-fossil electricity could produce low-cost, negative-CO2-emissions energy.   Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways    pp626 - 633 Gunnar Luderer, Zoi Vrontisi, Christoph Bertram, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Robert C. Pietzcker et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6 Residual CO2 emissions from fossil fuels limit the likelihood of meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement. A sector-level assessment of residual emissions using an ensemble of IAMs indicates that 640–950 GtCO2 removal will be required to constrain warming to 1.5 °C.   Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import    pp634 - 639 Sigrid Lind, Randi B. Ingvaldsen & Tore Furevik doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0205-y The northern Barents Sea has warmed rapidly in recent decades. Hydrographic observations suggest increases in ocean temperature—particularly after the mid-2000s—can be linked to reduced sea-ice import, freshwater loss, weakened stratification and increased upward heat fluxes from the deep Atlantic layer.   Partitioning global land evapotranspiration using CMIP5 models constrained by observations    pp640 - 646 Xu Lian, Shilong Piao, Chris Huntingford, Yue Li, Zhenzhong Zeng et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0207-9 The ratio of plant transpiration to total terrestrial evapotranspiration (T/ET) captures the role of vegetation in surface–atmosphere interactions. An emergent constraint approach strongly increases existing model T/ET estimates with implications for river flows.   Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

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