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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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| April 2018 Volume 8, Issue 4 |
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| Editorial Comment Research Highlights News & Views Perspectives Letters Articles Amendments & Corrections | |
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Focal Point on Japan's Designated National University Initiative Japan's radical new program to boost just a handful of universities has precedents across the world Access free online |  | | |
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Editorial | |
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| Focus on climate change and mental health p259 doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0128-7 |
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Comment | |
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| Mental health risk and resilience among climate scientists pp260 - 261 Susan Clayton doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0123-z |
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| New EU ETS Phase 4 rules temporarily puncture waterbed pp262 - 264 Grischa Perino doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0120-2 |
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| China's emissions trading takes steps towards big ambitions pp265 - 267 Frank Jotzo, Valerie Karplus, Michael Grubb, Andreas Löschel, Karsten Neuhoff et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0130-0 |
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| Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change pp268 - 271 Felix Creutzig, Joyashree Roy, William F. Lamb, Inês M. L. Azevedo, Wändi Bruine de Bruin et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0121-1 |
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Research Highlights | |
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| Mis-prioritizing conservation? p272 Alastair Brown doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0133-x |
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| Paying for lasting conservation p272 Jenn Richler doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0134-9 |
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| Humboldt upwelling p272 Graham Simpkins doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0135-8 |
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| US climate leadership p272 Adam Yeeles doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0136-7 |
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News & Views | |
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Perspectives | |
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| Ecological grief as a mental health response to climate change-related loss pp275 - 281 Ashlee Cunsolo & Neville R. Ellis doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0092-2 Climate change has a gradual influence on landscapes and ecosystems that may lead to feelings of loss for those with close ties to the natural environment. This Perspective describes existing research on ecological grief and outlines directions for future inquiry. |
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| The case for systems thinking about climate change and mental health pp282 - 290 doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0102-4 This Perspective reviews the literature on climate change and mental health, and advocates for a systems approach, which considers the complex set of interacting distal, intermediate and proximate factors that influence mental health risk, in future research. |
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Letters | |
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| Quantified, localized health benefits of accelerated carbon dioxide emissions reductions pp291 - 295 Drew Shindell, Greg Faluvegi, Karl Seltzer & Cary Shindell doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0108-y Emission mitigation is required to achieve global climate ambitions but can also offer local benefits. Reduction in air pollution because of low-carbon emission trajectories is shown to result in approximately 150 million fewer premature deaths worldwide. |
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| Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5?°C global warming pp296 - 299 Katarzyna B. Tokarska & Nathan P. Gillett doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0118-9 Limiting warming to 1.5?°C requires staying within an allowable carbon budget. An analysis of warming and carbon budgets from the past decade shows that the median remaining budget is 208 PgC, corresponding to about 20 years of emissions at the 2015 rate. |
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| Increased risk of a shutdown of ocean convection posed by warm North Atlantic summers pp300 - 304 Marilena Oltmanns, Johannes Karstensen & Jürgen Fischer doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0105-1 North Atlantic Ocean convection may be impeded by increased freshwater input or reduced surface heat losses. This study shows that warm, fresh surface layers in summer are followed by reduced heat losses in winter, shortening the time for convection. |
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| Limited influence of climate change mitigation on short-term glacier mass loss pp305 - 308 Ben Marzeion, Georg Kaser, Fabien Maussion & Nicolas Champollion doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0093-1 Glaciers outside Greenland and Antarctica have been rapidly losing mass. Contemporary ice declines are shown to be a response to past greenhouse gas emissions, with present mitigation efforts unlikely to be beneficial in preventing future short-term ice loss. |
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| Methane production as key to the greenhouse gas budget of thawing permafrost pp309 - 312 doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0095-z An organic carbon decomposition model, calibrated with laboratory incubations, indicates a greater production rate of CO2-C equivalents from waterlogged (compared to drained) permafrost soils, when the higher global warming potential of methane is factored in. |
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| Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds pp313 - 318 Katharine Keogan, Francis Daunt, Sarah Wanless, Richard A. Phillips, Craig A. Walling et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z Time of reproduction may be altered as the climate changes. For seabirds, it is shown that there has not been an adjustment in timing as the climate changes and the sea surface warms. This lack of plasticity could result in a mismatch with food resources. |
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Articles | |
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| The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5?°C and 2?°C temperature targets pp319 - 324 Katsumasa Tanaka & Brian C. O'Neill doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0097-x While well-known for its temperature targets, the Paris Agreement also aims for net zero GHG emissions. IAM results reveal net zero GHG emissions are not always required to meet the temperature targets, and that net zero CO2 emissions are a more suitable aim. |
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| Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C pp325 - 332 Joeri Rogelj, Alexander Popp, Katherine V. Calvin, Gunnar Luderer, Johannes Emmerling et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3 Scenarios that constrain end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9?W?m2, and thus global mean temperature increases to below 1.5?°C, are explored. Effective scenarios reduce energy use, deploy CO2 removal measures, and shift to non-emitting energy sources. |
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| Fuel use and greenhouse gas emissions of world fisheries pp333 - 337 Robert W. R. Parker, Julia L. Blanchard, Caleb Gardner, Bridget S. Green, Klaas Hartmann et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0117-x Fisheries generated a total of 179 million tonnes of CO2-equivalent GHG emissions in 2011 (4% of global food production). Emissions grew by 28% between 1990 and 2011, primarily driven by increased harvests from fuel-intensive crustacean fisheries. |
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| A marine heatwave drives massive losses from the world's largest seagrass carbon stocks pp338 - 344 A. Arias-Ortiz, O. Serrano, P. Masqué, P. S. Lavery, U. Mueller et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0096-y Marine ecosystems and their stored carbon are threatened by warming and marine heatwaves. During a 20102011 heatwave, around a third of a Western Australian seagrass ecosystem suffered damage, potentially releasing 29 Tg CO2 in the following years. |
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Amendments & Corrections | |
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| Author Correction: Short-lived climate pollutant mitigation and the Sustainable Development Goals p345 Andy Haines, Markus Amann, Nathan Borgford-Parnell, Sunday Leonard, Johan Kuylenstierna et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0073-5 |
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| Author Correction: Biomass-based negative emissions difficult to reconcile with planetary boundaries p345 Vera Heck, Dieter Gerten, Wolfgang Lucht & Alexander Popp doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0107-z |
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| Publisher Correction: Recently amplified arctic warming has contributed to a continual global warming trend p345 Jianbin Huang, Xiangdong Zhang, Qiyi Zhang, Yanluan Lin, Mingju Hao et al. doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0056-y |
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