Nature Climate Change Contents March 2015 Volume 5 Number 3 pp 175-280

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Advertisement Conference: Human Health in the Face of Climate Change  The New York Academy of Sciences, the "la Caixa" Foundation, and Biocat are presenting a multidisciplinary conference titled Human Health in the Face of Climate Change: Science, Medicine, and Adaptation. This groundbreaking event will convene May 14-15, 2015, in Barcelona, Spain. Abstract Deadline: March 18th. TABLE OF CONTENTS March 2015 Volume 5, Issue 3 Editorial Correspondence Commentaries Market Watch Research Highlights News and Views Perspectives Review Letters Articles Errata Corrigendum Advertisement   Ready for a glimpse of tomorrow? Visit KAUST Discovery today KAUST Discovery highlights the cutting-edge research, technologies and innovations emerging from the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology. http://discovery.kaust.edu.sa  Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter   Advertisement Come to Paris (7-10 July 2015) to attend the international scientific conference "Our Common Future under Climate Change". Discuss and exchange with scientists from all disciplines on the various aspects of climate change in the broader context of global change. Don't miss this key milestone leading up to COP 21. More information at www.commonfuture-paris2015.org   Advertisement Don't let your data go to waste...  Scientific Data helps researchers make the most of their data, offering publication in a peer reviewed open access journal. We welcome data of all sizes, from all areas of science. What's unique? A new type of article providing detailed descriptions of scientifically valuable datasets, maximising data discoverability and reuse.  Discover what we can do for your data          Editorial Top The global risk landscape p175 doi:10.1038/nclimate2565 Initiatives aimed at preserving or enhancing the state of the environment are created in a broad political landscape influenced by, among other things, perceived risks. We take a brief look at this risk landscape in the run up to Paris 2015. Correspondence Top Eliminating the local warming effect pp176 - 177 James N. Druckman doi:10.1038/nclimate2536 Commentaries Top US climate policy needs behavioural science pp177 - 179 Amanda R. Carrico, Michael P. Vandenbergh, Paul C. Stern and Thomas Dietz doi:10.1038/nclimate2518 State implementation of new Environmental Protection Agency climate regulation may shift behavioural strategies from sidelines to forefront of US climate policy. Key threshold for electricity emissions pp179 - 181 Christopher Kennedy doi:10.1038/nclimate2494 To reduce greenhouse-gas emissions in the short term, and catalyse longer-term cuts, countries should reduce the carbon intensity of electricity generation to below a universal target of 600 tCO2e GWh−1 by 2020. Global distribution of observed climate change impacts pp182 - 185 Gerrit Hansen and Wolfgang Cramer doi:10.1038/nclimate2529 The scarcity of robust scientific evidence supporting the attribution of observed impacts to climate change in some vulnerable regions does not indicate that no such impacts have occurred. Adaptive development pp185 - 187 Arun Agrawal and Maria Carmen Lemos doi:10.1038/nclimate2501 Adaptive development mitigates climate change risks without negatively influencing the well-being of human subjects and ecosystems by using incentives, institutions, and information-based policy interventions to address different components of climate risks. Sea-level rise scenarios and coastal risk management pp188 - 190 Jochen Hinkel, Carlo Jaeger, Robert J. Nicholls, Jason Lowe, Ortwin Renn and Shi Peijun doi:10.1038/nclimate2505 The IPCC's global mean sea-level rise scenarios do not necessarily provide the right information for coastal decision-making and risk management. Market Watch Top The big drop pp191 - 192 Anna Petherick doi:10.1038/nclimate2543 The price of oil has tumbled in the past few months. But is it necessarily bad news for the renewables sector? Anna Petherick investigates. Research Highlights Top Forestry: Managing resilience | Marine ecology: Rebounding coral reefs | Climate science: Regional climate prediction | Environmental behaviour: Time is money News and Views Top Psychology: Climate change and group dynamics pp195 - 196 Tom Postmes doi:10.1038/nclimate2537 The characteristics and views of people sceptical about climate change have been analysed extensively. A study now confirms that sceptics in the US have some characteristics of a social movement, but shows that the same group dynamics propel believers. See also: Letter by Ana-Maria Bliuc et al. Power systems: Carbon negative at the regional level pp196 - 197 Nico Bauer doi:10.1038/nclimate2548 Modelling of the power system on the west coast of North America shows that including bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration technologies could enable the region to be carbon negative by 2050. See also: Letter by Daniel L. Sanchez et al. Flood trends: Not higher but more often pp198 - 199 Robert M. Hirsch and Stacey A. Archfield doi:10.1038/nclimate2551 Heavy precipitation has increased worldwide, but the effect of this on flood magnitude has been difficult to pinpoint. An alternative approach to analysing records shows that, in the central United States, floods have become more frequent but not larger. See also: Letter by Iman Mallakpour et al. nclimate JOBS of the week Program Leader Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) PhD Position in Stream Carbon Cycling Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL) Research Fellow in Geologic Carbon Storage Prifysgol Aberystwyth University PhD position in regional ocean biogeochemical modeling ETH Zurich More Science jobs from nclimate EVENT Mind & Brain Prize 2015 25.09.15 Torino, Italy More science events from Perspectives Top A temporary, moderate and responsive scenario for solar geoengineering pp201 - 206 David W. Keith and Douglas G. MacMartin doi:10.1038/nclimate2493 Solar radiation management - a form of geoengineering - could be used to cool the planet but has potential risks. A scenario for solar radiation management is proposed that is temporary, moderate and can be adjusted in light of new information. Vulnerability and adaptation of US shellfisheries to ocean acidification pp207 - 214 Julia A. Ekstrom, Lisa Suatoni, Sarah R. Cooley, Linwood H. Pendleton, George G. Waldbusser, Josh E. Cinner, Jessica Ritter, Chris Langdon, Ruben van Hooidonk, Dwight Gledhill, Katharine Wellman, Michael W. Beck, Luke M. Brander, Dan Rittschof, Carolyn Doherty, Peter E. T. Edwards and Rosimeiry Portela doi:10.1038/nclimate2508 Understanding the vulnerability of different US coastal communities to the likely harmful effects of ocean acidification on shellfisheries should inform the development of effective adaptation measures. Review Top Assessing species vulnerability to climate change pp215 - 224 Michela Pacifici, Wendy B. Foden, Piero Visconti, James E. M. Watson, Stuart H.M. Butchart, Kit M. Kovacs, Brett R. Scheffers, David G. Hole, Tara G. Martin, H. Resit Akçakaya, Richard T. Corlett, Brian Huntley, David Bickford, Jamie A. Carr, Ary A. Hoffmann, Guy F. Midgley, Paul Pearce-Kelly, Richard G. Pearson, Stephen E. Williams, Stephen G. Willis, Bruce Young and Carlo Rondinini doi:10.1038/nclimate2448 Several approaches are used to assess species' vulnerability to climate change. Identifying the strengths and weaknesses of such methods should help conservationists minimize biodiversity losses. Letters Top Public division about climate change rooted in conflicting socio-political identities pp226 - 229 Ana-Maria Bliuc, Craig McGarty, Emma F. Thomas, Girish Lala, Mariette Berndsen and RoseAnne Misajon doi:10.1038/nclimate2507 Consensus about the reality of climate change is growing, but the public is still divided between those who believe in its human causes and those who do not. Now research shows that such division can be explained in terms of a socio-political conflict between these opposing groups. Efforts to build support for mitigation policies should include approaches that transform intergroup relations. See also: News and Views by Tom Postmes Biomass enables the transition to a carbon-negative power system across western North America pp230 - 234 Daniel L. Sanchez, James H. Nelson, Josiah Johnston, Ana Mileva and Daniel M. Kammen doi:10.1038/nclimate2488 Deployment of bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration would help western North America achieve a carbon-negative power system by 2050. See also: News and Views by Nico Bauer Complementing carbon prices with technology policies to keep climate targets within reach pp235 - 239 Christoph Bertram, Gunnar Luderer, Robert C. Pietzcker, Eva Schmid, Elmar Kriegler and Ottmar Edenhofer doi:10.1038/nclimate2514 A model shows how climate targets could be met by 2030 through a politically feasible mix of carbon pricing, low-carbon technology, and energy policy. Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006 pp240 - 245 Dean Roemmich, John Church, John Gilson, Didier Monselesan, Philip Sutton and Susan Wijffels doi:10.1038/nclimate2513 Despite the ‘pause’ in surface warming, results from the global Argo programme (2006–present) show that the heat content of the oceans is increasing. Attribution of Arctic temperature change to greenhouse-gas and aerosol influences pp246 - 249 Mohammad Reza Najafi, Francis W. Zwiers and Nathan P. Gillett doi:10.1038/nclimate2524 This study investigates the relative contributions to Arctic warming from natural and anthropogenic forcers—greenhouse gases and aerosols. About 60% of greenhouse-gas warming is found to be offset by other anthropogenic forcings, which is greater than observed on a global scale. The changing nature of flooding across the central United States pp250 - 254 Iman Mallakpour and Gabriele Villarini doi:10.1038/nclimate2516 Climate models predict an increase in intense rainfall events due to a warmer atmosphere retaining more moisture. This study looks at observations from the central USA and reports that there has been an increase in the frequency of flooding, but little evidence for larger flood peaks. See also: News and Views by Robert M. Hirsch et al. The environmental impact of climate change adaptation on land use and water quality pp255 - 260 Carlo Fezzi, Amii R. Harwood, Andrew A. Lovett and Ian J. Bateman doi:10.1038/nclimate2525 Policies designed to encourage adaptation to climate change may conflict with regulation aimed at protecting environmental quality. This paper analyses the trade-offs between two fundamental ecosystem services that will be impacted by climate change: provisioning services derived from agriculture and regulating services in the form of freshwater quality. Arctic warming will promote Atlantic–Pacific fish interchange pp261 - 265 M. S. Wisz, O. Broennimann, P. Grønkjær, P. R. Møller, S. M. Olsen, D. Swingedouw, R. B. Hedeholm, E. E. Nielsen, A. Guisan and L. Pellissier doi:10.1038/nclimate2500 Potential interchange between north Atlantic and north Pacific fish communities is modelled for future Arctic conditions under climate change. Articles Top The carbon footprint of traditional woodfuels pp266 - 272 Robert Bailis, Rudi Drigo, Adrian Ghilardi and Omar Masera doi:10.1038/nclimate2491 Over half of the wood harvested globally is used as fuel. Unsustainable harvesting can deplete woody biomass, contributing to forest degradation, deforestation and climate change. A spatially explicit assessment of pan-tropical woodfuel supply and demand is used to estimate where harvest exceeds regrowth and the resultant GHG emissions for 2009. Saturation-state sensitivity of marine bivalve larvae to ocean acidification pp273 - 280 George G. Waldbusser, Burke Hales, Chris J. Langdon, Brian A. Haley, Paul Schrader, Elizabeth L. Brunner, Matthew W. Gray, Cale A. Miller and Iria Gimenez doi:10.1038/nclimate2479 Saturation state is shown to be the key component of marine carbonate chemistry affecting larval shell development and growth in two commercially important bivalve species.   Errata Top Erratum: Tales of future weather p280 W. Hazeleger, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, E. Min, G. J. van Oldenborgh, A. C. Petersen, D. A. Stainforth, E. Vasileiadou and L. A. Smith doi:10.1038/nclimate2545 Erratum: Temperature impacts on economic growth warrant stringent mitigation policy p280 Frances C. Moore and Delavane B. Diaz doi:10.1038/nclimate2547 Corrigendum Top Corrigendum: Nonlinear regional warming with increasing CO2 concentrations p280 Peter Good, Jason A. Lowe, Timothy Andrews, Andrew Wiltshire, Robin Chadwick, Je-K. Ridley, Matthew B. Menary, Nathaelle Bouttes, Jean Louis Dufresne, Jonathan M. Gregory, Nathalie Schaller and Hideo Shiogama doi:10.1038/nclimate2546   Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

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