Nature Climate Change Contents: November 2016 Volume 6 Number 10 pp 975-1048

If you are unable to see the message below, click here to view.

Advertisement Need access to Nature Plants at your workplace or institution? Site license access offers full online content plus added benefits!  Recommend site license access to your librarian. TABLE OF CONTENTS November 2016 Volume 6, Issue 11 Editorials Correspondence Commentary Correction News Feature Research Highlights News and Views Perspectives Letters Articles Addendum Advertisement Nature Outlook: Science-led Economies This Nature Outlook will explore the elements that make up a strong science-led economy, the role research funding policy has to play, and how the diverse needs of research economies around the globe may be met. Access the Outlook free online for six months> Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter     Advertisement npj Climate and Atmospheric Science: open for submissions  An open access, online-only journal providing researchers, policy makers and the public with the latest research on weather and climate, publishing high-quality papers that focus on topics including climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, weather extremes, atmospheric composition including aerosols, the hydrological cycle and atmosphere-ocean interactions.  Find out more >>>     Editorials Top Carbon accounting p975 doi:10.1038/nclimate3137 Atmospheric CO2 concentrations are at the highest level for around 15 million years. Accurate accounting is crucial for informed decision-making on how to curb the rise. Researching 1.5 °C p975 doi:10.1038/nclimate3154 The academic community is beginning to gather content for a special report on the Paris Agreement's most ambitious aspiration. Correspondence Top Plant breeding capacity building in Africa p976 Walter P. Suza, Paul Gibson, Richard Edema, Richard Akromah, Julia Sibiya, Rufaro Madakadze and Kendall R. Lamkey doi:10.1038/nclimate3139 See also: Letter by A. J. Challinor et al. Commentary Top A science of loss pp976 - 978 Jon Barnett, Petra Tschakert, Lesley Head and W. Neil Adger doi:10.1038/nclimate3140 Avoiding losses from climate change requires socially engaged research that explains what people value highly, how climate change imperils these phenomena, and strategies for embracing and managing grief. Correction Top Correction p978 doi:10.1038/nclimate3144 See also: Correspondence by R. de Oliveira Silva et al. News Feature Top Polar opposites in US election pp979 - 981 Karl Mathiesen doi:10.1038/nclimate3145 The US presidential candidates and the nation they seek to lead are divided over climate change. The stakes are high as voters head to the polls. Research Highlights Top Biogeochemistry: Methane on the rise | Coral reefs: Community responses | Integrated modelling: New social pathways | Cryospheric science: Anthropogenic signals News and Views Top Transport: Shipping emissions in East Asia pp983 - 984 James Corbett doi:10.1038/nclimate3091 Large growth in East Asia's sea-borne trade has increased premature deaths and atmospheric warming in the region. New legislation could reduce these impacts in areas around China, but joint efforts are needed for region-wide benefits. See also: Article by Huan Liu et al. Epidemiology: Malaria in a warmer West Africa pp984 - 985 C. Caminade and A. E. Jones doi:10.1038/nclimate3095 Malaria risk in West Africa is expected to fall (western region) or remain the same (eastern region) in response to climate change over the twenty-first century. This is primarily due to extreme temperature conditions projected under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. See also: Letter by Teresa K. Yamana et al. Nature Climate Change JOBS of the week Postdoctoral or Senior Scientist in Radiopharmaceutical Sciences Ludwig Boltzmann Institute Applied Diagnostics Assistant Professor in Regional Climate Science Washington State University Vancouver (WSUV) Inaugural Dean, New School For Environment and Sustainability University of Michigan Faculty Position Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO) at the University of California San Diego More Science jobs from Nature Climate Change EVENT Special Course in Climate Extremes Analysis 16.01.17 Bad Gandersheim, Germany More science events from Advertisement npj Clean Water: open for submissions  An open access, online-only journal, dedicated to publishing high-quality papers that describe the significant and cutting-edge research that continues to ensure the supply of clean water to populations. Explore the benefits of submitting your next manuscript.   Perspectives Top Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models pp986 - 991 E. M. Fischer and R. Knutti doi:10.1038/nclimate3110 It has been predicted, by theory and models, that heavy precipitation will increase with climate change and this is now being seen in observations. Emergence of signals such as this will enable testing of predictions, which should increase confidence in them. Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic pp992 - 999 James E. Overland, Klaus Dethloff, Jennifer A. Francis, Richard J. Hall, Edward Hanna, Seong-Joong Kim, James A. Screen, Theodore G. Shepherd and Timo Vihma doi:10.1038/nclimate3121 Understanding the influence of the changing Arctic on mid-latitude weather is complex, and a challenge for researchers. This Perspective considers current approaches and proposes a way forward based on accepting the chaotic nature of the atmospheric circulation. Letters Top Economic tools to promote transparency and comparability in the Paris Agreement pp1000 - 1004 Joseph Aldy, William Pizer, Massimo Tavoni, Lara Aleluia Reis, Keigo Akimoto, Geoffrey Blanford, Carlo Carraro, Leon E. Clarke, James Edmonds, Gokul C. Iyer, Haewon C. McJeon, Richard Richels, Steven Rose and Fuminori Sano doi:10.1038/nclimate3106 Results from four integrated assessment models show countries’ efforts to cut emissions fall towards the lower end of the social cost of carbon distribution, suggesting insufficient levels of ambition to meet the Paris Agreement goals. Contribution of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation to twentieth-century global surface temperature trends pp1005 - 1008 Gerald A. Meehl, Aixue Hu, Benjamin D. Santer and Shang-Ping Xie doi:10.1038/nclimate3107 Natural multidecadal climate variability contributes to global mean surface temperature trends. This study quantifies those from the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, finding that the largest contributions are during the positive phase, which accelerates warming. Climate change unlikely to increase malaria burden in West Africa pp1009 - 1013 Teresa K. Yamana, Arne Bomblies and Elfatih A. B. Eltahir doi:10.1038/nclimate3085 The importance of climate change for malaria transmission has been hotly debated. Research based on ten years of field observations and a model that simulates village-scale transmission for West Africa suggests that we should not be overly concerned. See also: News and Views by C. Caminade et al. Molecular signatures of transgenerational response to ocean acidification in a species of reef fish pp1014 - 1018 Celia Schunter, Megan J. Welch, Taewoo Ryu, Huoming Zhang, Michael L. Berumen, Göran E. Nilsson, Philip L. Munday and Timothy Ravasi doi:10.1038/nclimate3087 Ocean acidification impairs reef fish behaviour. This study shows offspring of spiny damselfish sensitive to high CO2 levels have different brain molecular responses to those of tolerant individuals, suggesting individual variation may allow adaptation. Revegetation in China’s Loess Plateau is approaching sustainable water resource limits pp1019 - 1022 Xiaoming Feng, Bojie Fu, Shilong Piao, Shuai Wang, Philippe Ciais, Zhenzhong Zeng, Yihe Lü, Yuan Zeng, Yue Li, Xiaohui Jiang and Bingfang Wu doi:10.1038/nclimate3092 China’s ‘Grain for Green’ revegetation programme has potential to help mitigate climate change. However, the increased water demand in the Loess Plateau is approaching a level that will impact on water availability to meet human demand. The increasing importance of atmospheric demand for ecosystem water and carbon fluxes pp1023 - 1027 Kimberly A. Novick, Darren L. Ficklin, Paul C. Stoy, Christopher A. Williams, Gil Bohrer, A. Christopher Oishi, Shirley A. Papuga, Peter D. Blanken, Asko Noormets, Benjamin N. Sulman, Russell L. Scott, Lixin Wang and Richard P. Phillips doi:10.1038/nclimate3114 During periods of hydrologic stress, vegetation productivity is limited by soil moisture supply and atmospheric water demand. This study shows that atmospheric demand has a greater effect in many biomes, with implications for climate change impacts. Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests pp1028 - 1031 Jan Verbesselt, Nikolaus Umlauf, Marina Hirota, Milena Holmgren, Egbert H. Van Nes, Martin Herold, Achim Zeileis and Marten Scheffer doi:10.1038/nclimate3108 Remote sensing of tropical forest activity indicates that temporal autocorrelation—an indicator of slow recovery from stress—rises steeply as precipitation falls sufficiently. This offers some support for a tipping point for forest collapse. Resilience of Amazon forests emerges from plant trait diversity pp1032 - 1036 Boris Sakschewski, Werner von Bloh, Alice Boit, Lourens Poorter, Marielos Peña-Claros, Jens Heinke, Jasmin Joshi and Kirsten Thonicke doi:10.1038/nclimate3109 Application of a terrestrial biogeochemical model that simulates diverse forest communities suggests that plant trait diversity may enable the Amazon rainforest to adjust to new climate conditions via a process of ecological sorting. Articles Top Health and climate impacts of ocean-going vessels in East Asia pp1037 - 1041 Huan Liu, Mingliang Fu, Xinxin Jin, Yi Shang, Drew Shindell, Greg Faluvegi, Cary Shindell and Kebin He doi:10.1038/nclimate3083 Analysis of over 18,000 vessels shows that the CO2 emissions from shipping in East Asia accounted for 16% of global shipping emissions in 2013 (compared to 4–7% in 2002–2005), and account for 14,500–37,500 premature deaths per year. See also: News and Views by James Corbett Multi-year persistence of the 2014/15 North Pacific marine heatwave pp1042 - 1047 Emanuele Di Lorenzo and Nathan Mantua doi:10.1038/nclimate3082 In 2014–2015 the northeast Pacific Ocean experienced a strong marine heatwave. This study shows teleconnections to the tropical Pacific and the weak El Niño were key sources in the atmospheric forcing and persistence of the event. Advertisement Springer Nature offers a free open access funding support service to enable authors to discover and apply for article processing charge funding available to them. Visit our website for further advice on the funding options available, and guidance in approaching funders and institutions, or email openaccess@nature.com for more information.   Addendum Top Addendum: Multi-scale predictions of massive conifer mortality due to chronic temperature rise p1048 N. G. McDowell, A. P. Williams, C. Xu, W. T. Pockman, L. T. Dickman, S. Sevanto, R. Pangle, J. Limousin, J. Plaut, D. S. Mackay, J. Ogee, J. C. Domec, C. D. Allen, R. A. Fisher, X. Jiang, J. D. Muss, D. D. Breshears, S. A. Rauscher and C. Koven doi:10.1038/nclimate3143 Advertisement All content now free to access including archives! Nature Communications is an open access journal that publishes high-quality research from all areas of the natural sciences. Papers published by the journal represent important advances of significance to specialists within each subject area including the Earth Sciences. Visit the website to explore ALL the content available within your field.   nature.com/naturecommunications   Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

You have been sent this Table of Contents Alert because you have opted in to receive it. You can change or discontinue your e-mail alerts at any time, by modifying your preferences on your nature.com account at: www.nature.com/myaccount (You will need to log in to be recognised as a nature.com registrant) For further technical assistance, please contact our registration department For print subscription enquiries, please contact our subscription department For other enquiries, please contact our customer feedback department Nature Publishing Group | One New York Plaza, Suite 4500 | New York | NY 10004-1562 | USA Nature Publishing Group's worldwide offices: London - Paris - Munich - New Delhi - Tokyo - Melbourne San Diego - San Francisco - Washington - New York - Boston Macmillan Publishers Limited is a company incorporated in England and Wales under company number 785998 and whose registered office is located at The Campus, 4 Crinan Street, London, N1 9XW. © 2016 Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.