Nature Climate Change Contents June 2015 Volume 5 Number 6 pp 487-610

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TABLE OF CONTENTS June 2015 Volume 5, Issue 6 Editorials Correspondence Commentaries Corrections Feature Policy Watch Research Highlights News and Views Perspectives Letters Articles Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter         Editorials Top Online methods p487 doi:10.1038/nclimate2677 The Methods section of primary research papers are now being published online only. Local views p487 doi:10.1038/nclimate2678 Public opinion around climate change is complex. It's time that localized and policy-specific analyses come out from the shadow of national studies. Correspondence Top No-till agriculture and climate change mitigation pp488 - 489 Henry Neufeldt, Gabrielle Kissinger and Joseph Alcamo doi:10.1038/nclimate2653 See also: Correspondence by David S. Powlson et al. Reply to 'No-till agriculture and climate change mitigation' p489 David S. Powlson, Clare M. Stirling, M. L. Jat, Bruno G. Gerard, Cheryl A. Palm, Pedro A. Sanchez and Kenneth G. Cassman doi:10.1038/nclimate2654 See also: Correspondence by Henry Neufeldt et al. Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK pp490 - 491 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David B. Stephenson, Andreas Sterl, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Sybren S. Drijfhout, Hans von Storch and Huug van den Dool doi:10.1038/nclimate2612 See also: Correspondence by Chris Huntingford et al. Reply to 'Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK' pp491 - 492 Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo and Myles R. Allen doi:10.1038/nclimate2613 See also: Correspondence by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh et al. Tidal river management in Bangladesh p492 Faisal Hossain, Zahirul Haque Khan and C. K. Shum doi:10.1038/nclimate2618 See also: Correspondence by L. W. Auerbach et al. Reply to 'Tidal river management in Bangladesh' pp492 - 493 L. W. Auerbach, S. L. Goodbred Jr, D. R. Mondal, C. A. Wilson, K. R. Ahmed, K. Roy, M. S. Steckler, C. Small, J. M. Gilligan and B. A. Ackerly doi:10.1038/nclimate2620 See also: Correspondence by Faisal Hossain et al. Opening up the black box of adaptation decision-making pp493 - 494 Robbert Biesbroek, Johann Dupuis, Andrew Jordan, Adam Wellstead, Michael Howlett, Paul Cairney, Jeremy Rayner and Debra Davidson doi:10.1038/nclimate2615 See also: Correspondence by Klaus Eisenack et al. Reply to 'Opening up the black box of adaptation decision-making' pp494 - 495 Klaus Eisenack, Susanne C. Moser, Esther Hoffmann, Richard J. T. Klein, Christoph Oberlack, Anna Pechan, Maja Rotter and Catrien J. A. M. Termeer doi:10.1038/nclimate2619 See also: Correspondence by Robbert Biesbroek et al. Emissions accounting for biomass energy with CCS pp495 - 496 Alexander Gilbert and Benjamin K. Sovacool doi:10.1038/nclimate2633 See also: Correspondence by Daniel L. Sanchez et al. Reply to 'Emissions accounting for biomass energy with CCS' p496 Daniel L. Sanchez, James H. Nelson, Josiah Johnston, Ana Mileva and Daniel M. Kammen doi:10.1038/nclimate2634 See also: Correspondence by Alexander Gilbert et al. A hiatus in the stratosphere? pp497 - 498 A. J. Ferraro, M. Collins and F. H. Lambert doi:10.1038/nclimate2624 Commentaries Top Investing in negative emissions pp498 - 500 Guy Lomax, Timothy M. Lenton, Adepeju Adeosun and Mark Workman doi:10.1038/nclimate2627 Methods of removing CO2 from the atmosphere add vital flexibility to efforts to tackle climate change. They must be brought into mainstream climate policy as soon as possible to open up the landscape for innovation and development, and to discover which approaches work at scale. Towards a new climate diplomacy pp501 - 503 Angel Hsu, Andrew S. Moffat, Amy J. Weinfurter and Jason D. Schwartz doi:10.1038/nclimate2594 A new kind of climate politics is emerging, as national actions prove insufficient to address the changing climate. Subnational actors — ranging from provinces and cities, to civil sector organizations and private companies — are acting alongside nation states, making up for lost ground and missed opportunities. Socio-economic data for global environmental change research pp503 - 506 Ilona M. Otto, Anne Biewald, Dim Coumou, Georg Feulner, Claudia Köhler, Thomas Nocke, Anders Blok, Albert Gröber, Sabine Selchow, David Tyfield, Ingrid Volkmer, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber and Ulrich Beck doi:10.1038/nclimate2593 Subnational socio-economic datasets are required if we are to assess the impacts of global environmental changes and to improve adaptation responses. Institutional and community efforts should concentrate on standardization of data collection methodologies, free public access, and geo-referencing. Local science and media engagement on climate change pp506 - 508 Candice Howarth and Richard Black doi:10.1038/nclimate2629 Climate scientists can do a better job of communicating their work to local communities and reignite interest in the issue. Local media outlets provide a unique opportunity to build a platform for scientists to tell their stories and engage in a dialogue with people currently outside the 'climate bubble'. Securing the future of the Great Barrier Reef pp508 - 511 Terry P. Hughes, Jon C. Day and Jon Brodie doi:10.1038/nclimate2604 The decline of the Great Barrier Reef can be reversed by improvements to governance and management: current policies that promote fossil fuels and economic development of the Reef region need to be reformed to prioritize long-term protection from climate change and other stressors. Corrections Top Correction: Ocean wanderers p487 doi:10.1038/nclimate2651 Correction: Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends p511 doi:10.1038/nclimate2651 Correction: Wetland footprints p515 doi:10.1038/nclimate2659 Feature Top Travel responsibly p512 Bronwyn Wake doi:10.1038/nclimate2667 Policy Watch Top Getting a fair deal pp513 - 514 Sonja van Renssen doi:10.1038/nclimate2661 To succeed, any new global climate deal agreed upon in Paris must be fair and equitable — Sonja van Renssen reports. Research Highlights Top Ecological Impacts: Sea turtle persistence | Climate Science: North American cold spells | Adaptation policy: Forget no regrets | Climate politics: Institutional ignorance News and Views Top Attribution: Weather risks in a warming world pp517 - 518 Peter Stott doi:10.1038/nclimate2640 The global atmosphere is warming and human emissions are responsible. Now research shows that an increasing fraction of temperature and precipitation extremes are attributable to that warming. See also: Letter by E. M. Fischer et al. Climate politics: Designing energy policy under uncertainty pp517 - 518 Catherine Mitchell doi:10.1038/nclimate2662 Countries need to cut greenhouse-gas emissions from the energy sector if the world is to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. But no one is sure of the best path. New research highlights the key uncertainties driving energy policy debate in the UK. nclimate JOBS of the week Assistant Professor in Marine Physiological Ecology Virginia Institute of Marine Science Assistant Professor Arthropod Vector Biology University of Maine Coastal Oceanographic Modeller National Environment Research Council (NERC) Post Doctoral Fellowship ? Southern-Ocean Aerosols and Clouds NIWA, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Postdoc position in plant-insect interactions Max Planck Institute for Chemical Ecology More Science jobs from nclimate EVENT The 15th International Conference on Progress in Vaccination Against Cancer (PIVAC-15) 06.10.15 Tübingen, Germany More science events from   Perspectives Top Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C pp519 - 527 Joeri Rogelj, Gunnar Luderer, Robert C. Pietzcker, Elmar Kriegler, Michiel Schaeffer, Volker Krey and Keywan Riahi doi:10.1038/nclimate2572 A new analysis shows that global warming could be limited to 1.5 °C by 2100, but that the window for achieving this is small and rapidly closing. Using ecosystem experiments to improve vegetation models pp528 - 534 Belinda E. Medlyn, Sönke Zaehle, Martin G. De Kauwe, Anthony P. Walker, Michael C. Dietze, Paul J. Hanson, Thomas Hickler, Atul K. Jain, Yiqi Luo, William Parton, I. Colin Prentice, Peter E. Thornton, Shusen Wang, Ying-Ping Wang, Ensheng Weng, Colleen M. Iversen, Heather R. McCarthy, Jeffrey M. Warren, Ram Oren and Richard J. Norby doi:10.1038/nclimate2621 The recent FACE model–data synthesis project used data from two FACE experiments to assess land ecosystem models. This Perspective details the 'assumption-centered' approach used to identify and evaluate the causes of model differences. US power plant carbon standards and clean air and health co-benefits pp535 - 540 Charles T. Driscoll, Jonathan J. Buonocore, Jonathan I. Levy, Kathleen F. Lambert, Dallas Burtraw, Stephen B. Reid, Habibollah Fakhraei and Joel Schwartz doi:10.1038/nclimate2598 Clean electricity generation is good for the climate and improves the quality of the air that we breathe. An analysis of US power plants shows that the magnitude of the resulting health benefits depends greatly on the carbon standards adopted. Letters Top Public attention to science and political news and support for climate change mitigation pp541 - 545 P. Sol Hart, Erik C. Nisbet and Teresa A. Myers doi:10.1038/nclimate2577 Analysis of survey data reveals how political ideology shapes the influence of media coverage on public attitudes regarding climate change. Influence of social ties to environmentalists on public climate change perceptions pp546 - 549 D. B. Tindall and Georgia Piggot doi:10.1038/nclimate2597 A survey of the Canadian public shows that those with links to members of environmental organizations are more likely to be concerned about climate change, highlighting the importance of social ties and cultural milieu in shaping such attitudes. Public perceptions of demand-side management and a smarter energy future pp550 - 554 Alexa Spence, Christina Demski, Catherine Butler, Karen Parkhill and Nick Pidgeon doi:10.1038/nclimate2610 The results of an online survey of UK consumers suggest that achieving desired energy efficiencies and savings through demand-side management aimed at changing behaviour and encouraging uptake of energy-efficient technologies will not be easy. Decadal modulation of global surface temperature by internal climate variability pp555 - 559 Aiguo Dai, John C. Fyfe, Shang-Ping Xie and Xingang Dai doi:10.1038/nclimate2605 This study investigates global surface temperature data since 1920, and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation is found to be largely responsible for temperature fluctuations, exhibiting different spatial patterns to anthropogenic temperature drivers. Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes pp560 - 564 E. M. Fischer and R. Knutti doi:10.1038/nclimate2617 The contribution of human-induced climate change to global heavy precipitation and hot extreme events is quantified. The results show that of the moderate extremes, 18% of precipitation and 75% of high-temperature events are attributable to warming. See also: News and Views by Peter Stott Unabated global mean sea-level rise over the satellite altimeter era pp565 - 568 Christopher S. Watson, Neil J. White, John A. Church, Matt A. King, Reed J. Burgette and Benoit Legresy doi:10.1038/nclimate2635 This study identifies and corrects instrumental drift for satellite altimeter missions, which affects estimates of the rates of sea-level rise. Corrected data show an acceleration in the rate of rise, counter to previous estimates and in line with projections. Future fish distributions constrained by depth in warming seas pp569 - 573 Louise A. Rutterford, Stephen D. Simpson, Simon Jennings, Mark P. Johnson, Julia L. Blanchard, Pieter-Jan Schön, David W. Sims, Jonathan Tinker and Martin J. Genner doi:10.1038/nclimate2607 A major question in fisheries science is how fish will respond to climatic warming. Research shows that future distributions of commercially important fish species in the North Sea will be overwhelmingly constrained by non-thermal habitat variables. Permafrost thawing in organic Arctic soils accelerated by ground heat production pp574 - 578 Jørgen Hollesen, Henning Matthiesen, Anders Bjørn Møller and Bo Elberling doi:10.1038/nclimate2590 Quantification of microbial metabolic heat production in organic permafrost soils across Greenland reveals that the impacts of climate change on organic soils, and associated carbon storage, can be accelerated by microbial activity. Water-use efficiency and transpiration across European forests during the Anthropocene pp579 - 583 D. C. Frank, B. Poulter, M. Saurer, J. Esper, C. Huntingford, G. Helle, K. Treydte, N. E. Zimmermann, G. H. Schleser, A. Ahlström, P. Ciais, P. Friedlingstein, S. Levis, M. Lomas, S. Sitch, N. Viovy, L. Andreu-Hayles, Z. Bednarz, F. Berninger, T. Boettger, C. M. D‘Alessandro, V. Daux, M. Filot, M. Grabner, E. Gutierrez, M. Haupt, E. Hilasvuori, H. Jungner, M. Kalela-Brundin, M. Krapiec, M. Leuenberger, N. J. Loader, H. Marah, V. Masson-Delmotte, A. Pazdur, S. Pawelczyk, M. Pierre, O. Planells, R. Pukiene, C. E. Reynolds-Henne, K. T. Rinne, A. Saracino, E. Sonninen, M. Stievenard, V. R. Switsur, M. Szczepanek, E. Szychowska-Krapiec, L. Todaro, J. S. Waterhouse and M. Weigl doi:10.1038/nclimate2614 Considering the combined effects of CO2 fertilization and climate change drivers on plant physiology leads to a modest increase in simulated European forest transpiration in spite of the effects of CO2-induced stomatal closure. Dual controls on carbon loss during drought in peatlands pp584 - 587 Hongjun Wang, Curtis J. Richardson and Mengchi Ho doi:10.1038/nclimate2643 Peatlands represent about a third of global soil carbon. Research now indicates that increased shrub cover following drought and warming can contribute to the build-up of phenolics, which suppress decomposition and soil carbon loss. Articles Top Mineral protection of soil carbon counteracted by root exudates pp588 - 595 Marco Keiluweit, Jeremy J. Bougoure, Peter S. Nico, Jennifer Pett-Ridge, Peter K. Weber and Markus Kleber doi:10.1038/nclimate2580 Climate change enhances root exudation of organic compounds into soils and can lead to loss of soil carbon. Research now shows that oxalic acid (a common exudate) releases organic compounds from protective mineral associations. Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA pp596 - 603 Peter D. Howe, Matto Mildenberger, Jennifer R. Marlon and Anthony Leiserowitz doi:10.1038/nclimate2583 Action on climate change requires public support. A study of public opinion in the United States reveals substantial variation across the nation. Greenhouse-gas payback times for crop-based biofuels pp604 - 610 P. M. F. Elshout, R. van Zelm, J. Balkovic, M. Obersteiner, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, M. van der Velde and M. A. J. Huijbregts doi:10.1038/nclimate2642 Greenhouse-gas payback times are derived for biofuel production systems using five feedstocks under high- and low-input farm management to assess replacement of natural vegetation with crop-based biofuels. Estimates ranged from 1–162 years.   Advertisement Nature Outlook Biomaterials The Nature Outlook: Biomaterials examines the many ways in which solutions created by the natural world — by spiders, mussels, geckos, lotus leaves and more — are inspiring technological imitations that surpass some of the best existing human-engineered substances.  Access the Outlook free online for six months.  Produced with support from: KISCO Ltd. in association with Spiber Inc.   Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. For event advertising opportunities across the Nature Publishing Group portfolio please contact natureevents@nature.com More Nature Events

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