Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Nature Climate Change Contents November 2014 Volume 4 Number 12 pp 1037-1115

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Nature Chemistry
TABLE OF CONTENTS

December 2014 Volume 4, Issue 12

Editorial
Correspondence
Commentaries
Research Highlights
News and Views
Perspectives
Letters
Articles
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Editorial

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Window of opportunity p1037
doi:10.1038/nclimate2464
Time is running out to tackle climate change — it is not too late, but the next 10–15 years will be critical.

Correspondence

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Boundary work p1038
David C. Rose
doi:10.1038/nclimate2440

A new social contract for the IPCC pp1038 - 1039
Mark Carey, Lincoln C. James and Hannah A. Fuller
doi:10.1038/nclimate2442

Commentaries

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Facing the diversity crisis in climate science pp1039 - 1042
Adam R. Pearson and Jonathon P. Schuldt
doi:10.1038/nclimate2415
The climate movement is failing to engage a diverse set of stakeholders in efforts to address climate change, and a lack of diversity within the climate community itself may be, in part, to blame. Research-informed solutions are urgently needed to address the problem and help build a more inclusive and influential movement.

Going back to basics pp1042 - 1045
Christian Jakob
doi:10.1038/nclimate2445
Climate models have increased in complexity over time as more processes have been included. Now we need to return to the underpinning basics in the models and ensure they are the best they can be.

Uncertainty in projecting GHG emissions from bioenergy pp1045 - 1047
Thomas Buchholz, Stephen Prisley, Gregg Marland, Charles Canham and Neil Sampson
doi:10.1038/nclimate2418
The definition of baselines is a major step in determining the greenhouse-gas emissions of bioenergy systems. Accounting frameworks with a planning objective might require different baseline attributes and designs than those with a monitoring objective.

Preventing species extinctions resulting from climate change pp1048 - 1049
H. Resit Akçakaya, Stuart H. M. Butchart, James E. M. Watson and Richard G. Pearson
doi:10.1038/nclimate2455
Recent studies show that current IUCN Red List assessment methods can identify species vulnerable to extinction because of climate change. But species must be assessed more completely and more regularly, and adaptation actions initiated swiftly once threatened species are identified.

Research Highlights

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Agriculture: Crop-yield drivers | Climate impacts: Suffering pollen | Oceanography: Southern storage | Forest economics: Woody biomass use in Japan

News and Views

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Sociology: Drivers of climate change beliefs pp1051 - 1052
Jennifer E. Givens
doi:10.1038/nclimate2453
Direct experience of global warming is expected to increase the number of people who accept that it is real and human-caused. A study now shows that people's perceptions about abnormal temperatures mostly match actual measurements but do not affect climate change beliefs.
See also: Letter by Aaron M. McCright et al.

Soil carbon: Microbes, roots and global carbon pp1052 - 1053
William Wieder
doi:10.1038/nclimate2454
Interactions between soil microbes, the physical soil environment and vegetation will determine the magnitude of the terrestrial carbon sink under climate change.
See also: Letter by Benjamin N. Sulman et al.

Marine biology: No head start pp1054 - 1055
Santiago Salinas
doi:10.1038/nclimate2452
Non-genetic transgenerational acclimation cannot always be relied upon to provide populations with an effective, short-term response to climatic changes.
See also: Letter by Megan J. Welch et al.

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Perspectives

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Managing the climate commons at the nexus of ecology, behaviour and economics pp1057 - 1063
Alessandro Tavoni and Simon Levin
doi:10.1038/nclimate2375
Climate change research is necessarily interdisciplinary in nature. This Perspective takes stock of research done at the cutting edge of economics and ecology with the aim of stimulating future collaborative work through the sharing of research methods and insights.

A balance of bottom-up and top-down in linking climate policies pp1064 - 1067
Jessica F. Green, Thomas Sterner and Gernot Wagner
doi:10.1038/nclimate2429
The linkage of bottom-up climate policies is now widely favoured over the top-down approach exemplified by the Kyoto Protocol. This Perspective critiques this new received wisdom, and argues for a balance of top-down and bottom-up approaches.

Climate-smart agriculture for food security pp1068 - 1072
Leslie Lipper, Philip Thornton, Bruce M. Campbell, Tobias Baedeker, Ademola Braimoh, Martin Bwalya, Patrick Caron, Andrea Cattaneo, Dennis Garrity, Kevin Henry, Ryan Hottle, Louise Jackson, Andrew Jarvis, Fred Kossam, Wendy Mann, Nancy McCarthy, Alexandre Meybeck, Henry Neufeldt, Tom Remington, Pham Thi Sen, Reuben Sessa, Reynolds Shula, Austin Tibu and Emmanuel F. Torquebiau
doi:10.1038/nclimate2437
Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is an approach to the development of agricultural systems intended to help support food security under climate change. This Perspective outlines a set of CSA actions needed from public, private and civil society stakeholders: building evidence; increasing local institutional effectiveness; fostering coherence between climate and agricultural policies; and linking climate and agricultural financing.

Letters

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Household electricity access a trivial contributor to CO2 emissions growth in India pp1073 - 1076
Shonali Pachauri
doi:10.1038/nclimate2414
The linkages between the two goals of achieving universal access to modern energy and mitigating climate-altering emissions are assessed for the case of India.

The impacts of temperature anomalies and political orientation on perceived winter warming pp1077 - 1081
Aaron M. McCright, Riley E. Dunlap and Chenyang Xiao
doi:10.1038/nclimate2443
The evidence that climatic conditions influence beliefs about anthropogenic climate change is mixed. Now research analyses the extent to which US state-level winter temperature anomalies influence the likelihood of perceiving warmer-than-usual temperatures, and the attribution of such temperatures to global warming. Results show that temperature anomalies have a strong influence on perception, whereas attribution is mainly driven by perceived scientific consensus and political orientation.
See also: News and Views by Jennifer E. Givens

Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China pp1082 - 1085
Ying Sun, Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers, Lianchun Song, Hui Wan, Ting Hu, Hong Yin and Guoyu Ren
doi:10.1038/nclimate2410
Mean summer temperature in Eastern China has increased by 0.82 °C since the 1950s and five of the hottest summers have occurred since 2000. This study estimates anthropogenic influence to have caused a greater than 60-fold increase in the likelihood of extreme summer heat and projects that hot summers will continue to increase in frequency.

Effects of elevated CO2 on fish behaviour undiminished by transgenerational acclimation pp1086 - 1089
Megan J. Welch, Sue-Ann Watson, Justin Q. Welsh, Mark I. McCormick and Philip L. Munday
doi:10.1038/nclimate2400
There is concern that ocean acidification will negatively affect the sensory abilities and behaviour of marine fishes. This study shows that negative impacts of elevated CO2 on fish behaviour are not diminished by transgenerational acclimation.
See also: News and Views by Santiago Salinas

Global disparity in the ecological benefits of reducing carbon emissions for coral reefs pp1090 - 1094
Juan Carlos Ortiz, Yves-Marie Bozec, Nicholas H. Wolff, Christopher Doropoulos and Peter J. Mumby
doi:10.1038/nclimate2439
Mass bleaching of coral caused by extreme thermal events is likely to intensify unless greenhouse-gas emissions are reduced. Modelling suggests that Pacific coral reefs will benefit from emissions reductions sooner than Caribbean reefs.

Land-use protection for climate change mitigation pp1095 - 1098
Alexander Popp, Florian Humpenöder, Isabelle Weindl, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Markus Bonsch, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Christoph Müller, Anne Biewald, Susanne Rolinski, Miodrag Stevanovic and Jan Philipp Dietrich
doi:10.1038/nclimate2444
A significant challenge for policies aiming to reduce carbon emissions from deforestation is the avoidance of international carbon leakage. Research now shows, however, that even globally implemented forest conservation schemes could allow another type of carbon leakage through cropland expansion into non-forested areas.

Microbe-driven turnover offsets mineral-mediated storage of soil carbon under elevated CO2 pp1099 - 1102
Benjamin N. Sulman, Richard P. Phillips, A. Christopher Oishi, Elena Shevliakova and Stephen W. Pacala
doi:10.1038/nclimate2436
Much uncertainty in the response of soil organic carbon (SOC) to climate change relates to the relative effects of microbial priming and mineral protection. Now research indicates that although protected C provides an important constraint on microbial priming, it is not sufficient to prevent reduced SOC storage in most terrestrial areas.
See also: News and Views by William Wieder

Articles

Top

A local coastal adaptation pathway pp1103 - 1108
J. Barnett, S. Graham, C. Mortreux, R. Fincher, E. Waters and A. Hurlimann
doi:10.1038/nclimate2383
A project to develop an approach to adaptation to sea-level rise with a local community is described. The result is a theoretically informed, empirically tested and locally supported adaptation pathway.

Delays in reducing waterborne and water-related infectious diseases in China under climate change pp1109 - 1115
Maggie Hodges, Jessica H. Belle, Elizabeth J. Carlton, Song Liang, Huazhong Li, Wei Luo, Matthew C. Freeman, Yang Liu, Yang Gao, Jeremy J. Hess and Justin V. Remais
doi:10.1038/nclimate2428
Millions of people in China lack ready access to clean water and sanitation. Projected impacts of climate change may delay China’s progress towards reducing the burden of water-, sanitation- and hygiene-attributable infectious disease.

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