Nature Climate Change Contents December 2013 Volume 3 Number 12 pp 1003-1061

TABLE OF CONTENTS December 2013 Volume 3, Issue 12 Editorial Correspondence Commentaries Snapshot Interview Market Watch Research Highlights News and Views Perspective Letters Articles Subscribe   Facebook   RSS   Recommend to library   Twitter   Nature Geoscience Insight: Marine cycles in flux In this Nature Geoscience Insight we highlight some of the most intriguing advances in the microbial biogeochemistry of the oceans, a field that is very much in flux.  Free online for a limited time Produced with support from:       Editorial Top On message p1003 doi:10.1038/nclimate2075 Keeping politicians and the public informed about advances in climate science would benefit from the active participation of social scientists in the process. Correspondence Top Advanced flood risk analysis required p1004 Sebastiaan N. Jonkman doi:10.1038/nclimate2031 See also: Correspondence by Stephane Hallegatte et al. Reply to 'Advanced flood risk analysis required' pp1004 - 1005 Stephane Hallegatte, Colin Green, Robert J. Nicholls and Jan Corfee-Morlot doi:10.1038/nclimate2053 See also: Correspondence by Sebastiaan N. Jonkman Emissions from Amazonian dams p1005 Rafael M. Almeida, Nathan Barros, Jonathan J. Cole, Lars Tranvik and Fábio Roland doi:10.1038/nclimate2049 Commentaries Top Challenges for New Zealand's carbon market pp1006 - 1008 Luis Mundaca and Jessika Luth Richter doi:10.1038/nclimate2052 New Zealand is often seen as a leader when it comes to environmental policies, but it needs to do much more to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions. Carbon tax needs thresholds to reach its full potential pp1008 - 1011 John C. V. Pezzey and Frank Jotzo doi:10.1038/nclimate2054 The political opportunities for implementing a carbon tax high enough to induce large emission cuts will be better if at first the tax is charged on the difference between emissions and fixed thresholds, rather than on all emissions as is now practised. Snapshot Top Public support p1012 Bronwyn Wake doi:10.1038/nclimate2066 Interview Top State of the science pp1013 - 1014 doi:10.1038/nclimate2064 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released its fifth assessment report (AR5) on the physical science of climate change on 27th September this year. Nature Climate Change speaks to the co-chair of the working group responsible for the report, Thomas Stocker. Market Watch Top A Calderónian commission pp1015 - 1016 Anna Petherick doi:10.1038/nclimate2057 A new alliance of top research institutions will tailor investigations into the economics of climate change to those best placed to act. Anna Petherick reports. Research Highlights Top Ecological Impacts: Types or traits? | Atmospheric science: Natural aerosols | Oceanography: Historical ocean heat | Psychology: Translations matter | Energy policy: Ending nuclear power News and Views Top Projection and prediction: Local noise and global confidence pp1018 - 1019 Markus G. Donat doi:10.1038/nclimate2061 Analyses of changes in climate extremes at the local scale are affected by large uncertainties related to climate variability. Now research finds that integration over larger areas reveals consistent intensification of heat and precipitation extremes in projections of the near future. See also: Letter by E. M. Fischer et al. Biodiversity: Strategy conservation pp1019 - 1020 Michael Dunlop doi:10.1038/nclimate2063 Some existing conservation strategies may continue to provide secure habitats for species as their ranges move in response to climate change. See also: Article by Alison Johnston et al. nclimate JOBS of the week Assistant Professor - Plant Ecology University of Connecticut (UConn) Professorship in Plant Ecology (Open Rank) University of Basel Tenure-Track Assistant or Associate Professor in Ecosystem and Land Surface Modeling, San Diego State University Natural Resource Data Specialist / Geospatial Analyst The Great Basin Institute Research Associate: Atmospheric Modeller / Data Analyst NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology More Science jobs from nclimate EVENT Advanced Course in Climate Time Series Analysis 24.02.14 Hanover, Germany More science events from Perspective Top The role of short-lived climate pollutants in meeting temperature goals pp1021 - 1024 Niel H. A. Bowerman, David J. Frame, Chris Huntingford, Jason A. Lowe, Stephen M. Smith and Myles R. Allen doi:10.1038/nclimate2034 This Perspective considers the extent to which early action to reduce emissions of short-lived climate pollutants, such as methane and black carbon, would help to limit global warming. Although decreasing emissions of these pollutants would have short-term benefits, simultaneous CO2 reductions are urgently required to mitigate the risk of dangerous climate change in the longer term. Letters Top Intra- and intergenerational discounting in the climate game pp1025 - 1028 Jennifer Jacquet, Kristin Hagel, Christoph Hauert, Jochem Marotzke, Torsten Röhl and Manfred Milinski doi:10.1038/nclimate2024 The role of temporal discounting in group decisions is poorly understood. A group experiment on collective risk in the context of climate change is used to analyse cooperative behaviour under different timeframes for the realization of the cooperation benefits. Results show that gains that are delayed significantly into the future—intergenerational discounting—markedly diminish cooperation. Water–CO2 trade-offs in electricity generation planning pp1029 - 1032 Mort Webster, Pearl Donohoo and Bryan Palmintier doi:10.1038/nclimate2032 The amount of water required for electricity generation is expected to increase as CO2 emissions are reduced. A capacity expansion model of the Texas electricity grid in the USA demonstrates the trade-offs between CO2 emissions and water use in designing the power generation mix. Better understanding of the 'water–energy nexus' should help to coordinate mitigation and adaptation planning in the energy sector. Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes pp1033 - 1038 E. M. Fischer, U. Beyerle and R. Knutti doi:10.1038/nclimate2051 There are large uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes. This study shows that the uncertainties are mainly due to internal climate variability. However, model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes. See also: News and Views by Markus G. Donat Hybridization may facilitate in situ survival of endemic species through periods of climate change pp1039 - 1043 Matthias Becker, Nicole Gruenheit, Mike Steel, Claudia Voelckel, Oliver Deusch, Peter B. Heenan, Patricia A. McLenachan, Olga Kardailsky, Jessica W. Leigh and Peter J. Lockhart doi:10.1038/nclimate2027 Predicting species’ chances of survival under climate change requires an understanding of their adaptive potential. Now research into hybridization—one mechanism that could facilitate adaptation—shows that species of the plant genus Pachycladon that survived the Last Glacial Maximum benefited from the transfer of genetic information through hybridization. Digestion in sea urchin larvae impaired under ocean acidification pp1044 - 1049 Meike Stumpp, Marian Hu, Isabel Casties, Reinhard Saborowski, Markus Bleich, Frank Melzner and Sam Dupont doi:10.1038/nclimate2028 Larval stages are particularly vulnerable to environmental changes. The impact of ocean acidification on the digestive processes of sea urchin larvae is shown to decrease efficiency due to a drop in stomach pH. Despite compensatory feeding, the larval energy budget is likely to be affected. Articles Top Attributing mortality from extreme temperatures to climate change in Stockholm, Sweden pp1050 - 1054 Daniel Oudin Åström, Bertil Forsberg, Kristie L. Ebi and Joacim Rocklöv doi:10.1038/nclimate2022 Climate extremes are on the increase. Research into mortality from extremes of heat in Stockholm now shows that during the period 1980–2009 mortality was double that likely to have occurred without climate change. Moreover, the frequency of cold extremes also increased slightly, despite higher average winter temperatures, contributing to a small increase in mortality during the winter months. Observed and predicted effects of climate change on species abundance in protected areas pp1055 - 1061 Alison Johnston, Malcolm Ausden, Andrew M. Dodd, Richard B. Bradbury, Dan E. Chamberlain, Frédéric Jiguet, Chris D. Thomas, Aonghais S. C. P. Cook, Stuart E. Newson, Nancy Ockendon, Mark M. Rehfisch, Staffan Roos, Chris B. Thaxter, Andy Brown, Humphrey Q. P. Crick, Andrew Douse, Rob A. McCall, Helen Pontier, David A. Stroud, Bernard Cadiou, Olivia Crowe, Bernard Deceuninck, Menno Hornman and James W. Pearce-Higgins doi:10.1038/nclimate2035 Will networks of protected areas remain effective as the climate changes? Research into the response of bird populations to climate variance and change attempts to shed light on this issue. Results suggest that despite projected declines in many of the species investigated, most sites that are designated as EU Special Protection Areas in the UK can be expected to retain their conservation value and legal status. See also: News and Views by Michael Dunlop   Advertisement Nature Geoscience: Focus on economic geology This focus brings together a collection of review articles and opinion pieces that highlight the emerging science of the processes responsible for the formation of economic-grade ore deposits and discuss the societal conditions and implications of their exploitation.  Free online until 30th November 2013    Natureevents is a fully searchable, multi-disciplinary database designed to maximise exposure for events organisers. The contents of the Natureevents Directory are now live. The digital version is available here. Find the latest scientific conferences, courses, meetings and symposia on natureevents.com. 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