Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Nature Climate Change Contents September 2012 Volume 2 Number 9 pp 635-702

Nature Climate Change
TABLE OF CONTENTS

September 2012 Volume 2, Issue 9

Editorial
Correspondence
Commentaries
Research Highlights
News and Views
Perspective
Review
Letters
Article
Beyond Boundaries

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Editorial

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Clarion call p635
doi:10.1038/nclimate1681
Research scientists and other concerned academics should be more willing to join the climate change debate.
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Correspondence

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Science literacy still matters p636
Mark McCaffrey and Joshua Rosenau
doi:10.1038/nclimate1644
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See also: Letter by Dan M. Kahan et al.

Uncertainty in thermal tolerances and climatic debt pp636 - 637
Francisco Rodríguez-Sánchez, Pieter De Frenne and Arndt Hampe
doi:10.1038/nclimate1667
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See also: Correspondence by Vincent Devictor et al.

Uncertainty in thermal tolerances and climatic debt pp638 - 639
Vincent Devictor, Chris van Swaay, Tom Brereton, Lluís Brotons, Dan Chamberlain, Janne Heliölä, Sergi Herrando, Romain Julliard, Mikko Kuussaari, Åke Lindström, Jirí Reif, David B. Roy, Oliver Schweiger, Josef Settele, Constantí Stefanescu, Arco Van Strien, Chris Van Turnhout, Zdenek Vermouzek, Michiel Wallis De Vries, Irma Wynhoff and Frédéric Jiguet
doi:10.1038/nclimate1668
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See also: Correspondence by Francisco Rodríguez-Sánchez et al.

Commentaries

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A new paradigm for climate change pp639 - 640
Kevin Anderson and Alice Bows
doi:10.1038/nclimate1646
How climate change science is conducted, communicated and translated into policy must be radically transformed if 'dangerous' climate change is to be averted.
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The co-benefits of carbon management on country pp641 - 643
Donna Green and Liz Minchin
doi:10.1038/nclimate1643
Carbon offsetting is a fraught science, but there are schemes that have additional benefits beyond their carbon-mitigation value.
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Research Highlights

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Economic impacts: Global flood risk | Emissions accounting: International freight impact | Cryoscience: Loss captured | Mitigation: Climate implications of CCS | Human health: Dengue fever transmission

News and Views

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Emissions accounting: China's uncertain CO2 emissions pp645 - 646
Gregg Marland
doi:10.1038/nclimate1670
Climate change mitigation commitments and basic carbon-cycle science both require reliable information on carbon dioxide emissions. Uncertainties in energy data and carbon dioxide emissions estimates are particularly important when they involve large emitters.
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See also: Letter by Dabo Guan et al.

Oceanography: Pacific temperature trends pp646 - 647
Mat Collins
doi:10.1038/nclimate1673
There has been much debate on how tropical Pacific sea surface temperature will change under global warming. Now research sheds light on this debate by removing the El Niño/Southern Oscillation signal to provide a clearer story.
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See also: Article by Amy Solomon et al.

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Perspective

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Communication of climate projections in US media amid politicization of model science pp648 - 654
Karen Akerlof, Katherine E. Rowan, Dennis Fitzgerald and Andrew Y. Cedeno
doi:10.1038/nclimate1542
The complexity and politicization of climate computer models can hinder communication of their science, uses and limitations. Evidence suggests that information on climate models in US newspapers is declining and that when it appears, it is often within sceptic discourses. Furthermore, model projections are frequently portrayed as probably being inaccurate, and political opinion outlets provide more explanation of model results than many news sources.
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Review

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The hydrology of the humid tropics pp655 - 662
Ellen Wohl, Ana Barros, Nathaniel Brunsell, Nick A. Chappell, Michael Coe, Thomas Giambelluca, Steven Goldsmith, Russell Harmon, Jan M. H. Hendrickx, James Juvik, Jeffrey McDonnell and Fred Ogden
doi:10.1038/nclimate1556
Hydrological processes in the humid tropics differ from other regions in having greater energy inputs and faster rates of change. In this Review it is argued that understanding of the key hydrological interactions there remains limited, and a vision of future research designed to address these shortcomings is outlined.
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Letters

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Different glacier status with atmospheric circulations in Tibetan Plateau and surroundings pp663 - 667
Tandong Yao, Lonnie Thompson, Wei Yang, Wusheng Yu, Yang Gao, Xuejun Guo, Xiaoxin Yang, Keqin Duan, Huabiao Zhao, Baiqing Xu, Jiancheng Pu, Anxin Lu, Yang Xiang, Dambaru B. Kattel and Daniel Joswiak
doi:10.1038/nclimate1580
Glacial melting in the Tibetan Plateau affects the water resources of millions of people. This study finds that—partly owing to changes in atmospheric circulations and precipitation patterns—the most intensive glacier shrinkage is in the Himalayan region, whereas glacial retreat in the Pamir Plateau region is less apparent.
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Climate–society feedbacks and the avoidance of dangerous climate change pp668 - 671
A. J. Jarvis, D. T. Leedal and C. N. Hewitt
doi:10.1038/nclimate1586
Future greenhouse-gas emissions need to deviate from a fossil-fuel intensive scenario to avoid dangerous climate change, and this implies feedback links between climate change and societal actions. Research shows that the global growth of new renewable energy post-1990 represents an annual climate–society feedback of ~0.25% per degree increase in global mean temperature.
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The gigatonne gap in China’s carbon dioxide inventories pp672 - 675
Dabo Guan, Zhu Liu, Yong Geng, Sören Lindner and Klaus Hubacek
doi:10.1038/nclimate1560
Reliable statistics are important for both climate science and international negotiations about emission-reduction targets. However, China is often questioned in terms of its data transparency and accuracy. Now researchers have compiled the carbon dioxide emission inventories for China and its 30 provinces for the period 1997–2010, and found a 1.4 gigatonne discrepancy between national and provincial inventories in 2010.
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See also: News and Views by Gregg Marland

Vulnerability of US and European electricity supply to climate change pp676 - 681
Michelle T. H. van Vliet, John R. Yearsley, Fulco Ludwig, Stefan Vögele, Dennis P. Lettenmaier and Pavel Kabat
doi:10.1038/nclimate1546
Thermoelectric power in Europe and the United States is vulnerable to climate change. Here research relates lower summer river flows and higher river water temperatures as a result of climate change to thermoelectric plant capacity. Summer average capacity can decrease by 6.3–19% in Europe and 4.4–16% in the United States, depending on the cooling system type and climate scenario for 2031–2060.
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Timing of carbon emissions from global forest clearance pp682 - 685
J. Mason Earles, Sonia Yeh and Kenneth E. Skog
doi:10.1038/nclimate1535
Agricultural expansion and deforestation contribute to approximately 17% of global greenhouse-gas emissions. The fate of cleared wood and subsequent carbon storage as wood products, however, has not been consistently estimated. Now research fills this gap and shows that 30 years after forest clearance the percentage of carbon stored in wood products and landfills ranges from about 0% to 62% globally.
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Thermal tolerance and the global redistribution of animals pp686 - 690
Jennifer M. Sunday, Amanda E. Bates and Nicholas K. Dulvy
doi:10.1038/nclimate1539
Using a comprehensive data set of thermal tolerance limits, latitudinal range boundaries and latitudinal range shifts of cold-blooded animals, this study explores the likely consequences of climate change for the geographical redistribution of terrestrial and marine species at a global scale.
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Article

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Reconciling disparate twentieth-century Indo-Pacific ocean temperature trends in the instrumental record pp691 - 699
Amy Solomon and Matthew Newman
doi:10.1038/nclimate1591
Accurately characterizing natural versus forced sea surface temperature variability in observations is needed to validate and verify climate models used for projections of future climate change. This study successfully resolves previous large discrepancies in estimated tropical Indo-Pacific twentieth-century trends between observationally based sea surface temperature reconstructions.
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See also: News and Views by Mat Collins

Beyond Boundaries

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Building consistency p702
doi:10.1038/nclimate1671
Integrated assessment modeller Elmar Kriegler worked with experts in climate change impacts, adaptation and scenario analysis to develop a shared framework for socio-economic scenarios in climate change research.
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