Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Nature Climate Change Contents: June 2016 Volume 6 Number 6 pp 539-634

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Nature Chemistry

TABLE OF CONTENTS

June 2016 Volume 6, Issue 6

Editorial
Corrections
Feature
Research Highlights
News and Views
Perspectives
Letters
Articles
Corrigendum



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Editorial

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The role of society in energy transitions p539
doi:10.1038/nclimate3051
A research agenda that integrates understanding of the social processes with technical analysis of climate and energy systems is necessary to catalyse a transition to a low-carbon world.

Corrections

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Correction p540
doi:10.1038/nclimate3031

Correction p540
doi:10.1038/nclimate3035

Feature

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David J. C. MacKay (1967–2016) p540
Ken Wright
doi:10.1038/nclimate3040
Physicist; climate and energy innovator.

Research Highlights

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Agriculture: World without deforestation | Transport: Driving emissions reductions | Coastal carbon dynamics: Influence on calcification | Temperature Trends: Daily ranges

News and Views

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Ecology: Insect thermal baggage pp543 - 544
Caroline Williams
doi:10.1038/nclimate3042
Strong positive selection on cold hardiness and relaxed selection on heat hardiness experienced by range-expanding populations may help to explain why ectothermic animals generally have broader thermal tolerance towards the poles, and shed new light on their climate vulnerabilities.
See also: Letter by Lesley T. Lancaster

Agricultural impacts: Mapping future crop geographies pp544 - 545
William R. Travis
doi:10.1038/nclimate2965
Modelled patterns of climate change impacts on sub-Saharan agriculture provide a detailed picture of the space- and timescales of change. They reveal hotspots where crop cultivation may disappear entirely, but also large areas where current or substitute crops will remain viable through this century.
See also: Letter by Ulrike Rippke et al.

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Perspectives

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Towards a science of climate and energy choices pp547 - 555
Paul C. Stern, Benjamin K. Sovacool and Thomas Dietz
doi:10.1038/nclimate3027
This Perspective introduces a special Collection titled Energy, Climate and Society — jointly produced by Nature Energy and Nature Climate Change — that focuses on the social science insights into the linked problems of energy sustainability and climate change.

Agent-based modelling of consumer energy choices pp556 - 562
Varun Rai and Adam Douglas Henry
doi:10.1038/nclimate2967
Reducing energy usage is important for climatechange mitigation. This Perspective focuses on the use and promise of agent-based modelling to understand the complexities of energy demand, including consumer behaviour.

A decision science approach for integrating social science in climate and energy solutions pp563 - 569
Gabrielle Wong-Parodi, Tamar Krishnamurti, Alex Davis, Daniel Schwartz and Baruch Fischhoff
doi:10.1038/nclimate2917
This Perspective describes a decision science approach to applying sociological and behavioural research to the design of effective climate- and energy-related policies.

Cooperation and discord in global climate policy pp570 - 575
Robert O. Keohane and David G. Victor
doi:10.1038/nclimate2937
Deep international cooperation will be needed to tackle climate change. This Perspective looks at how decentralized policy coordination involving partial efforts to build confidence and reduce emissions could foster such cooperation.

Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions pp576 - 583
Frank W. Geels, Frans Berkhout and Detlef P. van Vuuren
doi:10.1038/nclimate2980
Building bridges between three analytical approaches with quite different foundational bases should lead to a more comprehensive understanding of low-carbon transitions, in turn leading to more informed and effective policy decisions.

Letters

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Adaptation responses to climate change differ between global megacities pp584 - 588
Lucien Georgeson, Mark Maslin, Martyn Poessinouw and Steve Howard
doi:10.1038/nclimate2944
Research now shows that there is a large discrepancy between how much megacities spend on adaptation. Those in developing countries spend considerably less per person than their developed counterparts, despite being the most vulnerable.

Disruption of the European climate seasonal clock in a warming world pp589 - 594
Christophe Cassou and Julien Cattiaux
doi:10.1038/nclimate2969
The application of a new metric of seasonal onset over Europe to existing observational data sets indicates that the start of summer has advanced significantly over recent decades, a trend expected to continue under global warming.

Tundra soil carbon is vulnerable to rapid microbial decomposition under climate warming pp595 - 600
Kai Xue, Mengting M. Yuan, Zhou J. Shi, Yujia Qin, Ye Deng, Lei Cheng, Liyou Wu, Zhili He, Joy D. Van Nostrand, Rosvel Bracho, Susan Natali, Edward. A. G. Schuur, Chengwei Luo, Konstantinos T. Konstantinidis, Qiong Wang, James R. Cole, James M. Tiedje, Yiqi Luo and Jizhong Zhou
doi:10.1038/nclimate2940
Release of carbon previously locked in permafrost is a potentially important positive climate feedback. Now metagenomics reveal the vulnerability of active-layer soil carbon to warming-induced microbial decomposition in Alaskan tundra.

Cropping frequency and area response to climate variability can exceed yield response pp601 - 604
Avery S. Cohn, Leah K. VanWey, Stephanie A. Spera and John F. Mustard
doi:10.1038/nclimate2934
About 70% of agricultural output variance due to climate in Mato Grosso, Brazil was determined by changes in cropping frequency and/or changes in cropping area rather than yield (the most common climate impact indicator), a study now shows.

Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in sub-Saharan African agriculture pp605 - 609
Ulrike Rippke, Julian Ramirez-Villegas, Andy Jarvis, Sonja J. Vermeulen, Louis Parker, Flora Mer, Bernd Diekkrüger, Andrew J. Challinor and Mark Howden
doi:10.1038/nclimate2947
Climate change may necessitate transformative adaptation of agricultural systems. Research now indicates when and where the cultivation of key crops in sub-Saharan African will become unviable.
See also: News and Views by William R. Travis

Changes in large-scale climate alter spatial synchrony of aphid pests pp610 - 613
Lawrence W. Sheppard, James R. Bell, Richard Harrington and Daniel C. Reuman
doi:10.1038/nclimate2881
The extent to which distant populations fluctuate similarly has significant ecological consequences, but can be difficult to investigate. Now research reveals the drivers of phenological synchrony for aphid pest species across the United Kingdom.

Temporally increasing spatial synchrony of North American temperature and bird populations pp614 - 617
Walter D. Koenig and Andrew M. Liebhold
doi:10.1038/nclimate2933
The degree of spatial synchrony of many North American wintering bird species has increased over the past 50 years. This may affect ecological resilience by decreasing the potential for demographic rescue from interacting subpopulations.

Widespread range expansions shape latitudinal variation in insect thermal limits pp618 - 621
Lesley T. Lancaster
doi:10.1038/nclimate2945
Research now shows that broad thermal niches observed in high-latitude ectotherms apply only to species undergoing range expansion or invasion. Non-range-expanding species are therefore unlikely to tolerate climatic warming at high latitudes.
See also: News and Views by Caroline Williams

Articles

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Meta-analyses of the determinants and outcomes of belief in climate change pp622 - 626
Matthew J. Hornsey, Emily A. Harris, Paul G. Bain and Kelly S. Fielding
doi:10.1038/nclimate2943
Meta-analysis shows people’s views on climate change have only a small impact on their tendencies to act in climate-friendly ways. These views are affected more by ideology and political orientation than education, sex and experience of extreme weather.

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts pp627 - 634
Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott and Myles R. Allen
doi:10.1038/nclimate2927
An ensemble of climate model simulations, as well as hydrological modelling and flood risk mapping, are used to show the role of anthropogenic warming on the extreme rainfall that caused the 2013/14 floods in southern England.

Corrigendum

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Corrigendum: Roadmap towards justice in urban climate adaptation research p634
Linda Shi, Eric Chu, Isabelle Anguelovski, Alexander Aylett, Jessica Debats, Kian Goh, Todd Schenk, Karen C. Seto, David Dodman, Debra Roberts, J. Timmons Roberts and Stacy D. VanDeveer
doi:10.1038/nclimate3034

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